UPDATE: Time's up! All are aboard that are coming aboard. Now the waiting begins. Who will be the point winners? Ooooh...you can cut the tension with a butter knife.
Some time in the next couple of months I'll be getting my 100,000th visit (barring catastrophe, of course). That's pretty sweet. 100,000 visitors since 7/29/03 and it'll happen within the near future. Do I rock, or what?
But when exactly will it happen?
Make a guess what day I'll hit 100,000 and win some points!
Here's the rules:
- Only guesses in the comments here count. No email submissions, please.
- One guess per person. Make it good because it will be engraved in stone to be ne'er altered.
- One person per guess. The first person to pick a date gets that date.
- Guesses will be accepted through the end of the month.
- I reserve the right to make more rules as necessary (or just on a whim) as my clever but evil readers think of ways around the ones I've made.
If somebody nails the date they get 5 points and the nearest over/under each get 2 points. If nobody nails the date the nearest over/under each get 3 points. I might raise those a bit if there's a lot of participants.
The person closest to the date gets 6 points. The next closest over and under each get 3. The next closest over and under after that each get 1. That's 5 winners altogether. If nobody gets the date exactly I'll come up with some fancy algorithm to distribute the points (think 6 sided cube with dots on it) but all points will be given. That is my vow to you, dear readers.
My SiteMeter stats are open so feel free to take a look there and devise a predictive algorithm. The Xtreme tracking stats won't be as useful as I reset those each month.
Dates claimed:
Feb 04 Pylorns
Feb 10 Margi (that's her birthday)
Feb 13 JimiLove
Feb 14 AlGore
Feb 17 Dan Spencer
Feb 18 MojoMark
Feb 19 Helen
Feb 20 Mike
Feb 21 Brian
Feb 23 LeeAnn
Feb 24 Tuning Spork
Feb 25 Simon
Feb 29 Tiffani
Mar 01 Sue
Mar 02 Clancy
Mar 03 Rob
Mar 04 Joey
Mar 05 Mitzi
Mar 07 Mog
Mar 11 Johnny Huh?
Mar 13 Linda
Jul 03 Pixy Misa
My guess is February 19.
Barring any of those monstrous Paris Hilton deals, of course.
And why the HELL are you getting 4 times as many visits as I do, yet I get maybe 10 times as many comments?!
I reckon a more conservative estimate of 03/03/04
of course I could guess for tommorow and just set a bot running but that would be cheating .. wouldn't it?
Helen - It's because I'm an erratic poster. People check back through the day to see if I've launched another gem (or another turd as the case may be). You consistently post once per day at around the same time. See? Irregularity has its benefits. And about the comments - the vast majority of my stuff is of the "read and groan" or "read and wonder why you wasted the time" varieties. Yours are almost always "read and BY GOD I've got to respond to that" type.
Rob - Yes, that would be cheating and not only would I pout, I'd also pitch a hissy fit. But I'd probably still exult at hitting 100,000 all the same. What can I say? I'm shallow like that.
ok so maybe I can start the bot and then people can guess how much it costs me in connection charges to get you up to 200,000 ... but frankly, I can't be arsed. I'm far to busy hitting penguins for 6
Phew! Thank God for penguins and Yetis.
Hello. Average 1,300 hits per day, you're at 83,000 now - I'm guessing 2/21.
And I'll probably account for 20-30 of those hits.
My guess, Jim, will be 2/29/04. You got it baby...Leap Year.
Ooh, Tiffani chose a good date. Damn, wish I'd thought of that.
Rob-my personal best with the penguins is now 578. Ha!
20 Feb...... I just want to be close to Helen......
;)
It will be Feb 4th.
My guess is March 1st.
damn 577.6 and I can't beat it ... this is worse than that game where you push the bloke down the stairs...
There's a game for that? Wow, all those years of real life practice will finally pay off in the virtual world!
February 18th, I'm betting on slightly increasing views over the course of the month.
and how come the "Remember personal info?" never works for me? are you Mozilla challenged here too?
The remember info thing is a bit goofy and I still don't really understand why. It's something to do with the setup here in Munuviana. Many blogs sharing the same comment system. It should be remembering your info across blogs if you're on an individual archive page and when you come back to the same comments only page. If not, it might be your cookie settings.
Dang! 100,000 is a heckuva lot of hits. I'm still working on getting up to 65,000 but that's alright. Another sports star will allegedly molest a hotel worker and I'll get a 30,000 hit boost.
But I will put my money on March the 11th.
Feb 25th. Because it's not yet taken. And if I hit the refresh button enough times that day I might make it!
well, I'm not too good at forecasting these sort of random events, so I'll pick Feb 13th, my son's birthday!
I'm sure it will be February 17. Hope that's better than my Iowa prediction.
February 23.
Is that better? Did I underestimate your charisma enough this time. :)
Please let it be on my birthday.
(February 10 for those playing at home.)
:)
Shoot. I have to re-learn my freakin' URL.
Sorry 'bout that. But hey, I have a very motivated expression on my face right now. Aheh.
Feb 24th
I din't say Feb 02! I said Feb 21!
Unless Rob really does his bot thing...
Oops! Sorry Brian. It's fixed now.
Ok..I really wish it would be Mar 31, for my birthday, but I know it's going to be March 5...
I bet that Sitemeter will crash on Feb 22, and that they will discover that all their recent backups are bad.
Therefore you will not make the 100,000 mark until Jul 03.
100,000 in just over 4 months? I'm flattered.
I'll pick March 13! That's my co worker's birthday and also another co worker is getting married that day. It may bring me luck too :)
I can't believe I didn't respond to this earlier! I'm such a schmuck, and now I've let Rob beat me (yet again)! So if I can't have my birthday, I'll just go one day before. Please sign me up for March 2nd.
(Absolutely no scientific research went in to choosing this semi-arbitrary date.)
Put me down for March 4, if no one's got it yet.
Clancy - I've revised my algorithm* and March the 2nd is now the outright leader with a predictive probability of 62.32% Wanna swap?
*a truly scientific methodology which has nothing to do with calendars and a dartboard - honest!
Rob - thanks for the offer, but I think I'll stick with 3/2.... I was late. Very late.
I have to agree with Rob. My algorithm (which takes into account the phases of the moon and their effect on browsing patterns — or something like that) predicts March 2 as well. Since that wasn't available I had to sign up for the next date that was.
Despite being the holder of the highly prized spot, I believe it's gonna happen earlier. We haven't taken in account all extra refresh clickage that will be going on to boost the date....
I've gotta stop coming back here so often - I'm just boosting his numbers now....
I'll take Feb 14, that holiday was invented for me and the wife. Thank you
Al! Welcome back. Thought we lost you, you've been so quiet lately.
A true romantic, too. Very nice.
C'mon Jim. You're falling behind. We need some scandal, some google bait, something. Feb 18 is coming too quickly and the sitemeter seems to be in slow motion.
Here, try this.....
JOSH DUHAMEL NAKED PICTURES.
that got me over 1700 hits just yesterday (my average is about 300)
I don't think it'll help since I don't have Sitemeter counters in the comments.
Hmmm...I bet I could double my hits if I put those in...
March 7, hey why not.
Bitch... where's my Josh pics??? :)
Uh...what? What is a Josh pic? I've got The Joshua Tree but I'm sure not planning on giving it up.
crap, your JJ boobalanche has thrown my predictions out of the window ... looks like it will fall 6 - 8 days from now!
Yes, the bounty of boobies continues to fall upon me. You should have used double exponential smoothing in your algorithm. It would have predicted Janet's boob show. Or at least the effects of it.
Ease up Sitemeter. You're just grinding metal.
God lord we're getting close now aren't we...
Yup. It's that last sprint to the finish line. Will Margi get it today? If it happens tomorrow, how shall I distribute the points as nobody picked that date. Oooooooh, the pressure's getting to me.
I've applied a lot of scientifical (that's a real word, you know?) analysis to this problem and I hereby predict the magic date to be February 11th.
When I said March 2nd before I was just guessing based on it’s proximity to my birthday...
Anyway - you read it here first!
Wow, Clancy. I think you might be right! Damn, you're good.
hahahaahaha it will not be the 11th, it will be the 12th (wait, is this one of those time zone issues again? I mean you guys are over an international date line and all ... so basically we in the UK are however many days ahead it takes to make it March 3rd on what ever day you hit the Hundred thou - yeah that works and I'll even upload a photo of my watch to prove it!)
Nice try, Rob, but I happen to know that it is already April in the UK so you've missed your date. Besides, to make things easy on me (and really, isn't that what should be your major concern at all times?) all times are Atlanta local. That's EST (aka GMT-5).
Ta Da! The winner is.... nobody.
No dead on winner but I'll be distributing those points as promised to the folks closest to the date.
Hey, Rob! Can I muck about in my sidebar yet?
#100,003
Ta Da! and the winner is..... Nobody!
Janet Jackson's Boob was the killer, skewing all scientific theories.
The 100,000th visit was by someone on the aol network at a shade past 5:00 PM.
A tenth of a million. Hot damn!
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